horse racing

Weekly Hcp Sleeper Notes: 31st May – 2nd June

Time to get the free Blog up and running again now I’m properly back in the groove on the full NTF Members Service

During the summer months here on the free NTF Blog I’m going to provide you all with my ‘Handicap Sleeper Notes’ from the weekend of racing that has just slid into the form book…

Plenty of you reading this will have already picked up my latest FREE NTF Guide ‘12 Handicap Sleepers for the 2024 Flat Season‘, so you’ll know what I mean when I say ‘Handicap Sleepers’.

If, however, you are yet to pick up that free NTF guide then HEAD TO THIS PAGE and pick up your own copy…

The notes I’ll be posting here on a weekly basis make up a large percentage of my own private notes for the flat. They are also how I source ‘Prime Condition’ horses for the NTF Stats Sheets I provide full members with during the Summer NTF Service.

The NTF Stats Sheets kicked back into action yesterday on the full service… with the five horses highlighted returning a form line of… 2-1-2-4-1… the best definitely being saved till last, with Hollie Doyle giving the John Tickle trained MUJID an absolute peach of a ride in the 8.15 at Windsor 💪

You can see yesterday’s full NTF Stats Sheet for yourself below…

I produce Stats Sheets for full NTF Members 4 or 5 times a week throughout the Summer and National Hunt services… you can see more examples on THIS PAGE>>>

Now for those Handicap Sleeper Notes from the weekend just past, with the Derby and Oaks meeting from Epsom being the focus…

Weekly Handicap Sleeper Notes 31st May – 2nd June


Friday 31st May

235 Epsom – 1m0.5f Class 2 Handicap

Race Note: Race played in favour of those drawn low (first 4 home were drawn 4-5-3-2) and to those racing closer to the pace (first 2 home tracked pace throughout)


Drawn in stall 10 and raced held-up (so draw and pace were against him)… also didn’t get a clear run in final couple of furlongs… ran here off OR 97 and currently below last and highest win mark of OR 98 and well below peak rating of OR 107… worth looking out for under the following Prime Conditions… OR 98 or less | 7f-1m Handicaps worth 50k or less = 6/13, 4p (all 6 career wins)


Drawn in stall 16 (widest stall) and raced held-up (so was most inconvenienced by draw)… never a factor but nor surprise in that and should get dropped a couple for the run… ran in this off OR 99, which is his last and highest winning mark and 6lbs below his peak rating… worth looking out for under his Prime Conditions of… OR 100 or less | Good or Softer | DSLR 30 or less = 011011(4/6 – all 4 career wins)… possibly at his peak in the July & August period (all 4 of his career wins in those months)…


540 Epsom – 7f Class 2 Handicap

7th – HODLER

Ran here off OR 81 and currently below last and highest winning mark of OR 84 and 8lbs below his peak rating of OR 89… out of his depth at Class 2 level (0/6, 1p in C2’s) and a drop in class is needed… all wins to date have come at C4 level or less but he may be worth playing when running at C3 level… worth looking out for under his Prime Conditions of… OR 84 or less | C3 or less 7f Hcps | running round a bend | DSLR 14-30 = 121161 (4/6, 1p – all 4 career wins)



Saturday 1st June

345 Epsom – 5f Class 2 ‘Dash’ Handicap

Race Note: Dominated by those drawn in the middle stalls, with the 1st, 2nd, 4th & 5th breaking from stalls 5, 6, 7 & 8… those drawn 10+ struggled to land any significant blow, finishing 13th, 14th, 11th, 10th & 7th


Been running well this season once seasonal debut run was out of the way (form line of 3232 on last 4 starts)… ran here off OR 88 and has placed off as high as 95 previously so could still have room for manoeuvre on the ratings front… worth looking out for under the following Prime Conditions… OR 89 or less | 5f | Good-G/S-Soft | DSLR 30 or less = 2232721311 (3/10, 6p – all 3 career wins)… and can probably be flexible enough on Handicap ceiling (as in OR 89 may not be his limit)…


I would have expected a better run from the 5yo than this given he finished a short-head second in the race last year off OR 107 and was running here off OR 99… may just have been, however, that his draw in the highest stall made life tricky for him (given the first 6 home came from a single figure draw), so potential he is a Badly Drawn Horse (BDH)  to keep an eye on given how far ahead he was of the others drawn in double figure stalls… I’d have loose Prime Conditions for him of… OR 99 or less | DSLR 28 or less | Jan-Sept = 6/20, 8p – all 6 career wins


Ran here off OR 82 (technically 86 as was out of handicap… but claimer took 5lbs off… so technically 81!) and is a good way below his peak rating of 96 and peak winning mark of 89 when trained by Clive Cox… looks just the sort that Paul Midgley can get a tune out of… worth looking out for under the following Prime Conditions… OR 89 or less | 5f-6f | race worth 17k or less to winner | fields of 12 or less = 311311 (4/6, 1p – all 4 career wins)… although can be relatively flexible on conditions now he’s moved to Midgley yard…


Ran here off OR 88, which is 3lbs below his last winning mark of 91 and 12lbs below his highest win mark of 100… ideally wants Good to Firm on turf so this Good to Soft won’t have been ideal and he’s worth looking out for under the following… OR 100 or less | 5f-5.5f | Good to Firm or AW | fields of 13 or less | DSLR 42 or less | NOT 1st or 2nd start of season = 7/13, 2p – all 7 career wins


Has been comfortably beaten in the last 3 renewals of this and he quite probably doesn’t handle the track all that well… ran in this off OR 86, 3lbs below his highest win mark of OR 89 and 12lbs below his highest rating of OR 101… should go better under the following Prime Conditions… OR 89 or less | June-Sept | Hcps worth 35k or less to winner | Slightly Undulating or Undulating tracks (or A/W) = 16238111121 (6/11, 3p – all 6 career wins)


515 Epsom – 1m4f Class 2 Handicap

2nd – ZIGGY

Ran here off OR 92, which is the same as his last and highest winning mark and 3lbs below his peak mark of OR 95. Bumped into an unexposed type in the shape of the winner Relentless Voyager, who was having only his 7th career start and 2nd start in handicap company. ZIGGY is worth looking out for under the following Prime Conditions… OR 92 or less | 1m2f-1m4f Handicaps = 221012412 (3/9, 4p – all 3 career wins)


550 Epsom – 6f Class 2 Handicap

Race Note: Race favoured those that were prominent/setting the pace, with the first 3 home recording running style comments of… ‘tracked leaders’, ‘prominent’ & ‘led’…


Ran here off OR 90, which is the same as his last and highest winning mark and 4lbs below his peak rating of 94. These conditions were in his favour but his hold-up running style was against on this particular occasion (race suited prominent runners). Worth looking out for under the following Prime Conditions… OR 90 or less | 5.5f+ | G/S or softer = 41121 (3/5, 1p – all 3 career wins)

When any of the above horses are entered up to run AND meet with their Prime Conditions they will be highlighted in the NTF Stats Sheets>>>

You can, of course, add the above horses to your own trackers so that you don’t miss out when they are due to run…

Both HorseRaceBase (Free 7-day trial HERE) and GeeGeez (£1 month trial HERE) have excellent tracker tools available as part of their software…

I make detailed notes on Handicap Sleepers pretty much every day during the Summer & Autumn months… they are a massive part of not only the NTF Members Stats Sheets but also of my own personal betting approach… hopefully some of the (Weekend) Handicap Sleepers I post here on the free blog land themselves in the winners enclosure at juicy prices over the coming weeks and months… 🤞

And again, if you haven’t yet picked up the FREE Handicap Sleepers Guide then simply click the following link and get your own copy today…

>>>12 Handicap Sleepers for the 2024 Flat season (FREE NTF Guide)

Cheers – Ben (NTF)

2 responses to “Weekly Hcp Sleeper Notes: 31st May – 2nd June”

  1. Just a quick on Live in the Moment. One of those runs in the Dash, last year, was when he came from one of the stalls that opened late

    • Hi Paul

      Yes, fair point… I’m just not convinced the Dash is the race for him though… might be the large field that gets him more than the track… he’s 0/10, 2p in fields of 14+… the placed runs coming on flatter tracks than Epsom (York & Doncaster)… hard to say exactly what it is but I’d personally prefer to be backing him somewhere other than Epsom…

      Cheers – Ben (NTF)

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