We had the almost unheard of situation yesterday of a race meeting taking place on Good to Soft! Yes the homeland delivered and Musselburgh staged their trials day on positively luxurious underfoot conditions. OVERTURN got the ball rolling on the day in the only way he knows how; point-shoot-run very fast-jump very fast-leave the others for dust! As enjoyable as he is to watch I can’t see what he is learning from these runs, they are nothing more than a paid schooling session. Admittedly there is not much they can do if the opposition don’t turn up, or indeed don’t even start as was the case with ASAID yesterday! Can he do the same to SIMONSIG and co. in the Arkle next month? I wouldn’t be convinced but that’s a question I’ll be answering closer to the time. As always I would be fascinated to hear your own thoughts in the meantime.
I’m staying at Musselburgh for my ‘1 to follow from the weekend runner’ and I look to the last race on the card for my eye-catcher…
NTF 1 to follow from the weekend: Goldie horse ‘Lost Nada’ in defeat…
LOS NADIS (Jim Goldie) – Sunday 4.30 Musselburgh – 2nd in the 2m4f Conditional jockey’s handicap hurdle
Big Jim’s reliable 9yo was chasing the leader from the off in this contest and stuck there until his jockey pushed him to the front turning for home. He had no answer, however, to the forward momentum of the winner SALUBRIOUS but a 4 length defeat to a clearly decent and improving Paul Nicholls youngster is no bad shakes at all. He knuckled down to his task doggedly and showed that despite having 72 career starts to his name he still has plenty of life about him yet.
Knowing that he is coming into a bit of form is all well and good but what most interests me about this Hernando gelding is the fact he is slipping on to a very handy handicap mark. He currently sits on an OR of 122 and if we consider his last winning mark was just that (122) and he has won and placed off higher marks in the past then he suddenly becomes a very interesting proposition indeed. In fact if we look back to the end of last season we see he ran an excellent 3rd at the Aintree Festival in a Listed handicap off 130.
He is ideally suited to right-handed tracks over jumps (RH record 5 wins from 21 starts compared to 1 win from 19 starts going LH) and it may well be back at Musselburgh or up at Perth where he is best suited to taking advantage of his current rating. Providing he is still on a similar mark he will most certainly be of utmost interest at Perth when their season begins – track record 41535112.
Although he has won on heavy on the flat soft/heavy ground does not bring about his best form over jumps and I would only be looking at getting my money down when the ground is riding Good to Soft or better
It should be noted that he is no slouch on the flat (currently rated 82) and that maybe tells us why he is at his best on flat type tracks over jumps (Musselburgh, Perth, Aintree…).
Sunday’s run showed there is plenty of life in the old boy yet and if they can find the correct ground for him on a right-handed track (preferably Perth or Musselburgh) then he can grace the winners enclosure off his current mark.
LOS NADIS ideal conditions – RH Flat Tracks (Perth, Musselburgh…) | Good to Soft or better ground | From or around current mark of 122
Who were the runners that caught your attention and went in your own notebook as ones to follow from the weekend?
Did you see any future champions among the weekends runners?
What were your thoughts on the Scottish Cheltenham Trails day at Musselburgh and the all chase card from Sandown?
Drop me a comment below and share your runners to follow from the weekend with the NTF readers.
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Happy Punting everyone and make sure you tune in tomorrow for plenty more from NTF!
Ben – (NTF)