As we build ever closer towards the ‘proper’ start of the 2012/13 National Hunt season we also begin to see a fairly large number of open days and owners’ days from some of the larger yards on the jumping block. One such day was recently held by Dorset based trainer Colin Tizzard. The Racing Post were, as usual, in attendance at this owners’ day and reported the following comments from Mr Tizzard about one of his stable stars CUE CARD.
Cue Card dealt King George as his main target
COLIN TIZZARD’S stable star Cue Card has been handed the William Hill King George VI Chase as his first major aim this season, but the Racing Post Arkle Chase runner-up could be tried over three miles for the first time at Wetherby or Ascot on November 3. Tizzard, who paraded a team of 55 horses for 210 guests at an owners’ day on Sunday, said: “The King George is definitely Cue Card’s target and we are debating whether to start him off at two miles or go straight up to three and run him in either the Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby or a handicap at Ascot, both of which are on the same Saturday at the beginning of November.
“There’s no question he’ll stay, as he won the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham, but he’s also got loads of pace and was beaten only by a brilliant horse in Sprinter Sacre when second over two miles in the Arkle.”
As always it is these kind of comments that get my antenna twitching.
Will the 2010 bumper winner stay 3 miles?
Are his Dosage figures ideally suited for the rigours of the King George VI Chase?
Let us take a look…
CUE CARD Dosage figures – 4-0-6-4-0 (14) | DI 1.00 | CD 0.29
The Dosage figures for the 6yo give a hint that 3 miles could be within his range although he isn’t exactly laden with stamina and my initial assessment would be that 3 miles and further would not be his ideal trip.
Some may say that 3 miles around Kempton is an ‘easy’ 3 miles but I have never bought into that notion. Kempton is a sharp, flat track and as such you are always on the turn and there is no time for a breather, no time to fill your lungs up and replenish the supplies. In races such as the King George there are no hiding places and if you don’t have the inherited stamina to stay the trip then you will be found out.
These are the main Dosage parameters that I use to ‘Narrow the Field’ for the King George Chase –
DI of 0.64 or below
CD of -0.13 or below
Of the last 13 winners of the race that Dosage Analysis could be applied to (2 winners didn’t have enough points) ALL of them fitted in to the above Dosage criteria.
CUE CARD clearly does not fit into these parameters and as such I have to make the conclusion that he is unlikely to be winning the King George at Kempton this December.
There will be some 3 mile trips that will be more accessible for him than others and I’m not saying that he WON’T win races over 3 miles but the likes of the King George Chase and the Cheltenham Gold Cup do not look suitable targets for him in my opinion.
One Cheltenham Festival target that should be well within his range, however, is the Ryanair Chase. He has perfect Dosage figures for the rigours of this race and in my opinion the Ryanair should be the main aim for the season for this King’s Theatre gelding.
So to answer my initial question of ‘Can Cue Card step up and be King for a day?’… No, I’m pretty confident he can’t and at this stage he is unlikely to be carrying my King George cash come Boxing Day.
But what do you guys think?
Do you think CUE CARD has the tools to become the King on Boxing Day?
Can he land the William Hill King George VI Chase before going on to soar up the hill to victory in the Cheltenham Gold Cup?
What do you think Cue Card’s main target(s) for the season should be?
As always I’m interested to hear your thoughts so drop me a comment below.
Original article taken from – http://www.racingpost.com
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