Because recent form only tells part of the story…
A horse gets beaten..
Then beaten again…
The market (and/or punters) gives up on it…
And then, seemingly out of nowhere, it wins!
Sound familiar?
The truth is that many horses aren’t simply good or bad. They’re just highly dependent on the conditions they encounter…
The right trip… The right track… The right ground… The right time of year… The right amount of time between runs…
When those pieces fall into place, an ordinary-looking horse can suddenly become a very different proposition…
That’s the idea behind my NTF Prime Conditions approach…
Over the years I’ve spent thousands of hours researching horse performance, trying to identify the specific conditions under which individual horses repeatedly produce their very best form…
I’ve taken some of the strongest National Hunt examples currently in training and put them together in a brand-new FREE NTF guide>>>
Inside the you’ll discover 12 horses whose records improve dramatically when returned to their Prime Conditions…
Such as the following…
🏇 LEAU DU SUD (Dan Skelton) 🏇
PRIME CONDITIONS
✅ Field Size: Fields of 14 or less
✅ Race Value: £75,000 or less
✅ Time of Year: October – February
FORM UNDER PRIME CONDITIONS
1111134 (5/7, 1p)
All 5 of his career victories have come under these conditions
SUMMARY
Leau Du Sud appears to be a horse that thrives when removed from the chaos and intensity of the very biggest races.
When racing during the heart of the NH season, in fields of 14 runners or fewer, and in contests worth £75,000 or less, his record becomes exceptionally strong. In fact, every one of his career victories has arrived under this exact set of circumstances.
What’s particularly interesting is the field-size component. Many horses cope perfectly well in large, competitive handicaps, but Leau Du Sud’s profile suggests he’s at his most effective when racing in slightly less congested affairs where jumping fluency, positioning and tactical speed can play a greater role.
The race-value factor also hints at a horse whose optimum environment sits just below the very top level. He’s good enough to win quality races, but history suggests he becomes more dangerous when not asked to take on the very top opposition.
As the season unfolds, any appearance between October and February in a race worth £75,000 or less and with a relatively manageable field size should immediately attract attention.
These aren’t tips…
They aren’t selections…
They’re horses to keep on your radar throughout the season…
Because when the right horse meets the right conditions at the right time…
History tells us these are horses we should be very interested in…
Enter your best email in the form below and download the FREE Prime Conditions Guide today…
12 Prime Condition Horses for the 2026/27 National Hunt Season
Because recent form only tells part of the story…
- ✓ The exact ‘Prime Conditions’ for 12 National Hunt Horses
- ✓ Data-Driven – Proven Performance Profiles
- ✓ Free – delivered instantly

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